Climate Whine

The head of a statewide business organization claims that the state’s “bureaucratic, arbitrary, time-consuming and expensive regulatory system” weakens the state’s “business climate.”

A small businessman argues that the high cost of workers compensation makes for a poor business climate.

Citing the ratings of business magazines, a legislative candidate laments the state’s standing “as one of the worst states in the nation for job growth and business climate.”

A pro-business think tank reports that the state has “one of the most difficult business climates in the nation,” and a pro-business journal notes that the state has “a well-documented bad business climate.”

No surprise, right? Vermont’s “poor business climate” has become a statewide mantra, and is already a factor in this year’s governor’s race.

Except that the above examples are from, in order: New Jersey, California, Wisconsin, Washington (State, not D.C.), and Maryland.

No doubt all these states have their economic problems, as do the other 45. It may be significant, though, that they are among the more prosperous states. Maryland and New Jersey have the highest median household incomes in the county. California isn’t far behind. Before the start of the Great Recession, Washington had the tenth highest per capita income in the country. Wisconsin had the 20th largest economy, just about what it ought to have considering its population.

So why all the complaints about the “poor business climate”?

Because in almost every state, some (though not all) business leaders and their supporters in politics and academia complain abut the “business climate.”

They’d be fools not to. It’s a good argument for getting what business leaders often want: less regulation and lower taxes. Most business leaders are more wealthy than not, meaning that in state’s with (relatively) progressive income taxes their tax bills are (relatively) high (though, in Vermont at least, lower than they were a decade or two ago).

As to regulations, many of them are at least a big pain in the neck (forms to fill out and all that) and often a profit-reducing cost.

Furthermore, many businessmen think that they do not need most of the services financed by their and everyone else’s taxes. As it happens, they are at least partly wrong here. This year the Legislature approved more transportation spending than ever, according to House Speaker Shap Smith. Business interests did not complain. Roads are, among other things, a subsidy to businesses; the taxes they pay are a lot less than it would cost to build and maintain their own highway systems.

Schools are a subsidy to business, too. Vermont schools may be expensive, but firms would spend a lot more if they had to teach all their workers how to read, write, and do arithmetic.

Just because complaints about “business climate” are heard in almost every state does not make them totally invalid. In most states, a few costs could probably be cut and a few regulations eased to lubricate economic activity without harming workers, consumers, the needy, or the environment.

But not much. Otherwise, those costs would have been cut, those regulations eased. Almost all of them exist because they provide goods, services, and protection that people want.

What the near-universality of the “poor business climate” slogan does mean is that the phrase is meaningless. It is self-interested bumper-sticker drivel that does not deserve to be taken seriously.

Neither do the “studies” by some pro-business “think tanks” or business magazines that purport to rank states according to their “business climate.” These rankings are based on extraordinarily selective criteria, as if the studies were designed to promote a policy agenda rather than to examine the subject honestly. They were.

The studies do take into account a state’s spending, taxes, regulations, and labor union strength. They tend to ignore the state’s health care, education system, recreation and cultural amenities, and other factors which attract the educated, higher-income people who have money to spend, and are therefore good for business.

Among academic economists, who acknowledge that, as one of them put it, “exactly what constitutes a good business climate is not entirely clear,” there is no agreement on whether state taxes, regulations, and labor union power (weak in Vermont) have any discernible impact on economic activity at all.

“Considerable empirical evidence suggests that state and local taxes do not significantly impact the geographic distribution of economic activity,” noted economists Bruce L. Benson of Florida State University and Ronald N. Johnson of Montana State at the outset of an article in the journal Economic Inquiry hIn general, the consensus among economists who have carefully studied the data is that if these factors do affect a state’s economic performance, they do so minimally, and are therefore easily offset by the positive outcomes (good schools, parks, health care, etc.) taxes and regulations provide.

In Vermont, for instance, where the term is bandied about almost daily, the “poor business climate” argument faces an obvious challenge. If the business climate is so poor, how come the economy is relatively so good?

The “relatively” is emphasized because right now Vermont’s economy is not good at all. But that’s only because the national (and in fact the global) economy is not good at all. But compared to most other states – and especially most other states in its region – Vermont’s economy is somewhat better.

Its unemployment rate, though higher than it was a couple of years ago, is lower than the national or regional average. So is its poverty rate and its home foreclosure rate. Vermont seems to be coming out of the recession somewhat faster than most other states, based on the unemployment and job creation numbers.

That doesn’t mean that, from the perspective of some businesspeople, state laws and taxes are not a serious problem. But it obviously isn’t a big problem for all of them, or they wouldn’t be hiring more workers and planning new facilities, as many of them are.

Vermont’s regulations probably have their greatest impact on builders and developers. All states have environmental restrictions, but Vermont’s are among the most stringent. That helps explain why builders, developers, and realtors are among the most vocal critics of the state’s business climate.

But those regulations help other businesses, such as the software developers discussed in Friday’s post.   The regulations help attract affluent, educated, newcomers to the state, and John Canning of the Vermont Software Developers Alliance said that’s good for the software business.

The bottom line, to put it in business terms, is that objective examination of the “poor business climate” claim can not even define the term, much less find persuasive evidence of its existence in any state. Vermont, like the rest of America, is pro-business, and would be foolish to be otherwise. Everybody benefits from a strong economy, which in turn depends on the healthy profitability of businesses.

The “poor business climate” moan is just the whine-of-choice of some segments of the business community and the politicians pandering to them. In fairness to that community, they are hardly the only whiners these days. But as members of the wealthiest and most powerful faction in the land, they have less excuse.

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One Response to “Climate Whine”

  1. Mike Palmer Says:

    As Mr. Margolis suggests, when assessing the climate for business of a given state, we should ask what criteria we should use to make this determination. Having worked for the past few years as a consultant in various emerging market countries on projects to improve the conditions for economic development, I have had an opportunity to gain a broader perspective on factors such as the following that contribute to or detract from a business-friendly environment:

    1. How prevalent is corruption in both business and government? Do I have to bribe people to do business in this location? (Vermont: No. Chicago: More so. New Jersey: Even more. Baku: Yes.) [Corruption is a tax with no benefit.]
    2. Does the state have an efficient and cost-effective legal and judicial system? [Vermont: Yes. Chicago: Less so. New Jersey: Even less. Baku: No.]
    3. What is the level of social capital (a measure of trust in society)? Is there a climate of trust or distrust and suspicion?
    4. What is the quality of life generally?
    5. What is the level of education in the population generally? [Vermont has the second highest high school graduation rate in the country.]
    6. What educational infrastructure is available (public schools, colleges and universities, available continuing education resources) [Vermont has 26 colleges and universities located throughout the state, including a medial school and a law school.]
    7. What is the work ethic in general?
    8. Do business organizations exist that support and encourage the development of socially responsible businesses and otherwise assist business leaders in growing healthy enterprises? [VBSR is the oldest and largest regional organization of socially responsible businesses in the country]
    9. Are government officials (elected and professional) accessible? [Not only can you speak directly to Governor Douglas; but it is likely he will know your name.]
    10. What is the transportation and communication infrastructure like?

    With respect to regulations and taxes, the appropriate inquiry is what we receive in exchange, that is, whether the benefits exceed the costs. As Oliver Wendell Holmes wrote, “Taxes are the price we pay for civilization.” How much civilization do we get in Vermont for what we pay and how valuable is it for business?

    It is no accident that “made in Vermont” enhances the value of Vermont businesses. Many regulations help protect the Vermont brand, making our products more competitive throughout the world. Other regulations help make the state a great place to live and a destination for tourists, who contribute significantly to our economic prosperity. For example, Act 250 may be a pain at times, but it has helped preserve an environment all of us enjoy. Act 60 is not perfect, but it has brought us closer to the equality of educational opportunity required by our Constitution and by simple decency. In Vermont, we experienced a less severe unemployment crunch from the recent recession than most of the rest of the country and are recovering faster. I suspect that our good governance and business climate helped make that possible.

    Similarly, the issue with taxes is not how high or low they are, but rather what we receive in exchange. Are we getting the best bang for the buck? For example, Sweden, which like Vermont has a thriving business culture, has a total tax cost far in excess of anything we have in Vermont or the United States. But the people of Sweden enjoy one of the highest standards of living anywhere in the world. Taxes alone do not make that possible, but taxes enable the people to purchase education, transportation, health care, safety, and other common goods that make working and living there quite enjoyable. They have made a choice, in effect, to pool resources through taxes to assure a higher quality of life for all.

    Like Mr. Margolis, I hope we can develop a more differentiated understanding of what makes a state attractive to business–or not. Although we have room for improvement (we need universal broad band access, for example), on the criteria that count, our State is one of the best places to do business in the country.

    Mike Palmer
    EthicsByDesign.com
    Cornwall

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